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2024-12-13 04:50:45

In your brother's view, these two reassurances have released a very important policy signal!It can be seen from the trend of today's market and growth enterprise market that although the two important indexes are not too big in the end, the differentiation is still obvious. The market is still stable in the strong area above 3400 points and the 5-day line, while the GEM index is still in the box structure. Then, will the whole market continue to go up along the pace of the broader market, or will it fall back to the box structure with the GEM?After the news about the meeting came out, although A shares have closed, according to Jun Ge's observation, the external market has begun to boil!


To understand this problem, we need to know the reasons for the divergence between the two indexes today, so as to judge the market trend in the later period.In terms of Hong Kong stocks, the Hang Seng Index was quickly pulled up by 2% from 3: 18, and the housing stocks in Hong Kong stocks strengthened in late trading, and Rongxin China rose by more than 10%; The Hang Seng Science and Technology Index rose sharply by 4%; FTSE China A50 index futures rose by more than 4%; China ETF rose more than 10% at night when it was 3 times richer ...However, today's news is not calm. The Bureau of Statistics released China's CPI and PPI data in November, which will have a lasting impact on the real economy, high-level governance and the A-share market! It is also the main reason why today's A-share market did not continue the strong pattern of last Friday.


During this period, many investors are worried that the economic growth rate is less than expected, and that the economic recovery is too fast, and the future policy support will decline. This mentality of being swayed by considerations of gain and loss is the main obstacle that causes the A-share market to hesitate. This Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party meeting is the first time in 14 years that a "moderately loose" monetary policy has been set again, which is equivalent to removing a big stone in the hearts of bulls!Second, in the case of achieving the goal, we will continue to adhere to a positive macro-adjustment policy! The meeting stressed that it is necessary to do a good job in economic work next year, implement more active and promising macro policies, expand domestic demand, promote the integrated development of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation, stabilize the property market and stock market, prevent and resolve risks and external shocks in key areas, stabilize expectations, stimulate vitality, promote sustained economic recovery, continuously improve people's living standards, maintain social harmony and stability, and complete the objectives and tasks of the 14 th Five-Year Plan with high quality, so as to lay a solid foundation for achieving a good start of the 15 th Five-Year Plan.From these two sets of inflation data and the PMI data released in November, we can see that in recent months, although high-level officials have continuously introduced a large number of measures to stabilize the economy, the recovery speed of China's economic fundamentals is not fast. As a result, many investors will question whether we can successfully complete the economic growth target set by the top management at the beginning of the year in the fourth quarter.

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